Learn techniques and habits to anticipate the future, and empower teams to navigate the future based on the art and science of forecasting and the psychology of managing uncertainty.
Overview
Syllabus
Introduction
- What it means to anticipate the future
- Common ways people misread the future
- Deciding who to pay attention to
- Deciding what to pay attention to
- Using second-order thinking
- Discerning patterns
- Misconceptions about chance
- Using probabilistic thinking
- Finding base rates
- Balancing inside and outside views
- Calibrating confidence
- Skillfully updating your predictions
- Leading with clarity
- Turning your team into trend scouts
- Communicating your vision of the future
- Key takeaways
Taught by
Becki Saltzman
