Stanford Seminar - How Can We Understand and Evaluate Election Forecasts, Given That N=15 or Less

Stanford Seminar - How Can We Understand and Evaluate Election Forecasts, Given That N=15 or Less

Stanford Online via YouTube Direct link

Election forecasts

3 of 13

3 of 13

Election forecasts

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Classroom Contents

Stanford Seminar - How Can We Understand and Evaluate Election Forecasts, Given That N=15 or Less

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  1. 1 Introduction
  2. 2 Preelection polls
  3. 3 Election forecasts
  4. 4 Polls
  5. 5 Differential nonresponse
  6. 6 External calibration
  7. 7 Political polarization
  8. 8 How to understand a forecast
  9. 9 Polls above the 95 interval
  10. 10 How we lost
  11. 11 Problems with 538
  12. 12 SimMap
  13. 13 National Swing

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