Where We Stand in Earthquake Prediction

Explore the current state of earthquake prediction in this 42-minute lecture by seismologist Marine A. Denolle at the Radcliffe Institute for Advanced Study. Delve into new methods, data harnessing, and short-term forecasting advancements that may lead to improved earthquake prediction capabilities. Examine topics such as seismic radiation from large plate-boundary earthquakes, ground motion amplification in urban sedimentary basins, earthquake cycles, and early warning systems. Learn about the challenges in predicting earthquake magnitude and aftershocks, and discover how machine learning is being applied to this field. Gain insights into fracture mechanics, earthquake size scaling, and specific case studies from Indonesia and Japan.