Explore a comprehensive 43-minute video analyzing the 12 causes of the Russo-Ukrainian War. Delve into four key phases: substantive reasons for Russia's invasion, the concept of half-causes for war, bargaining problems, and implications for the war's conclusion. Examine topics such as separatist regions, the Crimean land bridge, Russian irredentism, East-West rivalry, energy and water resources, and claims about Nazis. Learn about war's expected outcomes, bargaining incentives, preventive and preemptive war, uncertainty and miscalculation, and various explanations for conflict. Gain insights into potential war termination scenarios, including leadership changes, power shifts, and information convergence.
Overview
Syllabus
Outline.
Separatist Regions.
Crimean Land Bridge.
Russian Irredentism.
East-West Rivalry.
Energy.
Water.
Nazis.
Substantive Explanations Are Half-Causes.
Visualizing War's Expected Outcome (LINES ON MAPS).
Costs Incentivize Bargaining.
Bargaining over Oil.
Bargaining over Autonomy.
Why War Is Puzzling.
Preventive War and Shifting Power.
Preemptive War and First Strikes.
Uncertainty and Miscalculation.
Rational, Unitary Actor Explanations for War.
Irrationality.
Personal Benefits.
Substantive Cases and War Termination.
Leadership Change.
Stopping Power Shifts.
Information Convergence.
Endgame.
Taught by
William Spaniel
