Overview
Explore the frontiers of influenza forecasting in this lecture from the Stanislaw Ulam Memorial Lecture Series. Delve into the challenges public health agencies face in predicting seasonal epidemics and selecting appropriate virus strains for annual vaccines. Examine the complexities of anticipating deadly influenza pandemics. Learn how scientists are leveraging network models and diverse data sources, including health, social media, and molecular information, to address critical challenges in flu prediction. Investigate the potential limits of predictability in influenza forecasting. Gain insights into the history of public health, the differences between pandemics and seasonal flu, and the various interventions used to combat influenza. Discover the role of social distancing, antivirals, and vaccines in managing flu outbreaks. Analyze the use of health data, Google Flu Trends, and socio-environmental information in creating simulation models for forecasting seasonal epidemics and virus evolution.
Syllabus
Introduction
Welcome
Universal Flu Vaccine
Seasonal Flu Burden
Influenza Vaccine
Antiviral Drugs
NonVaccine Interventions
Seasonal Flu
Flu Virus Types
First Pandemic
History of Public Health
Pandemics vs Seasonal Flu
Wave Structure Vaccine Timeline
Social Distancing
Antivirals
Comparisons
Health Data
Google Flu Trends
SocioEnvironmental Data
Forecasting Seasonal Epidemics
Forecasting the Virus
Simulation Model
Taught by
Santa Fe Institute