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Monte Carlo and Bayesian Networks for AI Agent Decision Making

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Overview

Learn how probabilistic frameworks like Dynamic Bayesian Networks and Monte Carlo Particle Filtering enable AI agents to tackle complex calculations and decision-making in this 32-minute technical video. Explore the fundamentals of Monte Carlo methods, particularly Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) and their application in helping AI agents navigate high-dimensional probability spaces. Dive into Dynamic Bayesian networks for modeling temporal evolution of AI skills, understand particle filtering for approximating probability distributions, and examine multi-agent systems in competitive environments. Study practical implementations through Python code examples and real-world applications, supported by academic research including particle filters in hidden Markov models and high-dimension execution skill estimation. Progress from basic concepts of Bayes Theorem through advanced topics like temporal dynamics, strategic skill development in games, and multi-agent decision-making performance, with references to relevant arXiv papers for deeper understanding.

Syllabus

Could AI explore all possible futures?
Bayes Theorem and Network
Factorization of the Joint Probability
Dynamic Bayesian Network - Temporal Dynamics
Monte Carlo Particle Filtering
Monte Carlo Skill Estimation MCSE
Multi-agents Decision Making Perf
How to develop Strategic Skills in Games
Python code

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