Overview
Explore a comprehensive analysis of China's rise to global prominence in this 50-minute Aspen Institute talk. Examine how the US underestimated China's growing economic power and international assertiveness over the past decade. Delve into China's Belt and Road Initiative, military expansion in the South China Sea, cyber attacks on US companies, and advancements in critical technologies like AI and 5G. Investigate Xi Jinping's vision for Chinese supremacy and his consolidation of power amidst global trade challenges. Consider the implications for US-China relations, including Trump's approach and policy towards China, the Hong Kong protests, and the potential for conflict over Taiwan. Evaluate China's strengths and weaknesses, including its supply chain, Huawei's 5G technology, and lack of combat history. Assess whether China poses a manageable challenge or a significant threat to US global leadership and contemplate strategies for maintaining America's position on the world stage.
Syllabus
Introduction
How should we look at China
A new consensus on China
USChina relations in general
Trumps approach to China
A pushback against China
Trumps China policy
Challenge or threat
This is ours to win
Hong Kong Protests
Is this a manageable contradiction for the Chinese government
Is China and Russia picking tools appropriate to their power position
Trends to watch going forward
Chinas supply chain
Huawei and 5G
Lack of combat history
Will China be an adversary
Will China miss Trump
Will China invade Taiwan
Taught by
The Aspen Institute