The Illusion of Certainty - Risk, Probability, and Chance

The Illusion of Certainty - Risk, Probability, and Chance

World Science Festival via YouTube Direct link

If you play a lottery and there is 1 winner in a 1000, what is your percent of winning?

10 of 18

10 of 18

If you play a lottery and there is 1 winner in a 1000, what is your percent of winning?

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The Illusion of Certainty - Risk, Probability, and Chance

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  1. 1 Josh Tenenbaum and an experiment in ESP.
  2. 2 Risk, Probability, and Chance.
  3. 3 Marcus du Sautoy's Introduction.
  4. 4 Participant Introductions.
  5. 5 Are we good or bad at interpreting numbers?
  6. 6 The Monty Hall problem.
  7. 7 The fight or flight math means we understand numbers?
  8. 8 The "numbers are important" experiment.
  9. 9 VerizonMath: Verizon doesn't know Dollars from Cents.
  10. 10 If you play a lottery and there is 1 winner in a 1000, what is your percent of winning?
  11. 11 How well are our brains tuned for evidential data.
  12. 12 What is the birthday problem?
  13. 13 The way probability's are phrased are as important as the numbers.
  14. 14 Do we have a conception of a million?
  15. 15 What is a prior?
  16. 16 Josh Tenenbaum ESP experiment results.
  17. 17 "Numbers are important" experiment results.
  18. 18 How do we get a statistical society?

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