Recent Progress in Predictive Inference - Emmanuel Candes, Stanford University

Recent Progress in Predictive Inference - Emmanuel Candes, Stanford University

Alan Turing Institute via YouTube Direct link

Adapting conformal to distribution shift

12 of 21

12 of 21

Adapting conformal to distribution shift

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Recent Progress in Predictive Inference - Emmanuel Candes, Stanford University

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  1. 1 Intro
  2. 2 Data ethics 101: convey uncertainty and reliable outcomes
  3. 3 Previous work on conformal inference
  4. 4 Prediction intervals
  5. 5 Setting with perfect knowledge
  6. 6 Formulate quantile estimation as a learning task
  7. 7 Validity for unseen data?
  8. 8 Calibrate: how?
  9. 9 Comparison with other implementations of conformal inference
  10. 10 Predicting utilization of medical services
  11. 11 Online methods?
  12. 12 Adapting conformal to distribution shift
  13. 13 Connections
  14. 14 Estimating volatility in the stock market
  15. 15 Distribution free theory
  16. 16 Hidden Markov model
  17. 17 Predicting county level election results
  18. 18 From tolerance region to PAC-learning
  19. 19 Learn then test: risk calibration via multiple hypothesis testing
  20. 20 Example: object detection
  21. 21 Summary

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