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Caveats for Practical Decision-making: Probs vs Payoffs.
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Classroom Contents
Predicting Events Using Large Language Models - A Practical Guide to AI Forecasting
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- 1 Using LLMs for Forecasting
- 2 Video Overview
- 3 Metaculus Bot Competition.
- 4 Demo: How to forecast with an LLM.
- 5 Lessons from the Berkeley Forecasting Paper.
- 6 Advanced techniques.
- 7 Caveats for Practical Decision-making: Probs vs Payoffs.
- 8 Notebook Demo: Metaculus Bot Competition.
- 9 Outro / Resources
