Individual Probability, Reference Class Problem, Model Multiplicity, Reconciling Belief

Individual Probability, Reference Class Problem, Model Multiplicity, Reconciling Belief

Institute for Pure & Applied Mathematics (IPAM) via YouTube Direct link

A Model Reconcilation Process

9 of 10

9 of 10

A Model Reconcilation Process

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Classroom Contents

Individual Probability, Reference Class Problem, Model Multiplicity, Reconciling Belief

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  1. 1 Intro
  2. 2 Individual Probabilities (Dawid '14 "On Individual Risk") - In the practice of ML and statistics we frequently refer to individual probabilities
  3. 3 The measurement problem
  4. 4 Two Ways of Conceptualizing Probabilities (Dawid '14 "On Individual Risk")
  5. 5 The Reference Class Problem See "The Reference Class Problem is Your Problem Too", Hajek 07
  6. 6 The Model Multiplicity Problem
  7. 7 Our Contention
  8. 8 Some Notation...
  9. 9 A Model Reconcilation Process
  10. 10 Discussion

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